Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Eastern Conference Finals Preview
Why the Pistons Will Win: The Pistons have been arguably, the best Eastern Conference team in the playoffs. They have had a little bit more trouble than expected with Philadelphia, but they fought through it in 6 games. The Orlando series, which many thought could go to 7 games, went only 5 games thanks to holding man-beast Dwight Howard to 15 points per game and rookie Rodney Stuckey's emergence after Chauncey Billups went down in game 3. Now they face their biggest challenge in the Boston Celtics and are looking forward to the task of guarding the "NBA team". Tayshaun Prince has been the best player (16p, 6.2r, 56fg%) and now after guarding Andre Iguodala and Hedo Turkoglu, will have his hands full guarding "The Truth". If Chauncey can come back from his hamstring injury fully healthy and Rasheed (13.9p, 6r, 1.9b) play like the superstar he can be, the Pistons will look forward to the NBA Finals.
Friday, April 18, 2008
Eastern Conference Playoff Preview
I'm going to be previewing the playoffs and the matchups indivdiually. I will do the Eastern Confrence today, and the Western Conference tommorrow. (Stats for last 5 games).
(1) Boston Celtics vs. (8) Atlanta Hawks
Why the Hawks Will Win: The Hawks are capable of defeating the Boston Celtics. When you have an all-star player in Joe Johnson (20.0p, 3.2r, 5.2a) and a great defender who's capable of scoring in Josh Smith (19.2p, 8.2a, 3.0a, 1.8b), they can win some games for the Hawks. Smith is this team's X-factor because he's able to play and guard 4 positions. If the Hawks can go into him early and try to get KG or Kendrick Perkins in foul trouble, then the Celtics would have to rely on the bench to carry them. Add a playoff-tested point guard in Mike Bibby (13.6p, 4.8r, 4.6a) and an impressive rebounding rookie in Al Horford (11.2p, 10r, 2.6a) , the possibility of an upset over the best team in the East is not so bleak.
Why the Celtics Will Win: Boston has exceeded everyone's expectations this season. Most experts had them pegged as 48-52 win team. Well, it shouldn't have been that hard to realize that a team with 3 potential future hall-of-famers wouldn't be this good. Kevin Garnett (16.5p, 8.0r, 54 FG%) has been nothing short of amazing, and his defensive ability and leadership qualities has been crucial to this Boston team. Paul Pierce (15.8p, 52 fg%, 55 3p%) , even though leading the team in points, has been the second banana to KG. That doesn't mean he's bad but just the Celtics have him to be second speaks wonders to this team's success. Rajan Rondo (12p 5.2r, 6.2a) and Leon Powe (13.3p, 5.3r, 60 fg%) are going to be critical to this team going past the elite teams.
Matchups
PG Rajan Rondo vs. Mike Bibby
Adv. Atlanta
SG Ray Allen vs. Joe Johnson
Adv. Atlanta
SF Paul Pierce vs. Marvin Williams
Adv. Boston
PF Kevin Garnett vs. Josh Smith
Adv. Boston
C Kendrick Perkins vs. Al Horford
Adv. Atlanta
6th Man James Posey vs. Josh Childress
Adv. Atlanta
Bench Boston vs. Atlanta
Adv. Boston
Coach Doc Rivers vs. Mike Woodson
Adv. Boston
My Prediction: Celtics in 5
(4) Cleveland Cavaliers vs. (5) Washington Wizards
PG Delonte West vs. Antonio Daniels
Adv. Washington
SG Devin Brown vs. DeShawn Stevenson
Adv. Washington
SF LeBron James vs. Caron Butler
Adv. Cleveland
PF Ben Wallace vs. Antwan Jamison
Adv. Washington
C Zydrunas Illguaskas vs. Brendan Haywood
Adv. Cleveland
6th Man Anderson Varejao vs. Gilbert Arenas
Adv. Washington
Bench Cleveland vs. Washington
Adv. Washington
Coach Mike Brown vs. eddie Jordan
Adv. Washington
My Prediction: Wizards in 6
This may be the only way the Raptors would be able to contain Dwight.
Adv. Toronto
SG Maurice Evans vs. Anthony Parker
Adv. Toronto
SF Hedo Turkoglu vs. Jamario Moon
Adv. Orlando
PF Rashard Lewis vs. Chris Bosh
Adv. Toronto
C Dwight Howard vs. Rasho Nestorovic
Adv. Orlando
6th Man Keith Bogans vs. Jose Calderon
Adv. Toronto
Bench Orlando vs. Toronto
Adv. Toronto
Coach Stan Van Gundy vs. Sam Mitchell
Adv. Orlando
My Prediction: Magic in 7
Can Rip take his team over A.I.'s Sixers?
Adv. Detroit
SG Richard Hamilton vs. Willie Green
Adv. Detroit
SF Tayshaun Prince vs. Andre Iguodala
Adv. Philadelphia
PF Rasheed Wallace vs. Reggie Evans
Adv. Detroit
C Antonio McDyess vs. Samuel Dalembert
Adv. Philadelphia
6th Man Jason Maxiell vs. Louis Williams
Adv. Detroit
Bench Detroit vs. Philadelphia
Adv. Detroit
Coach Flip Saunders vs. Maurice Cheeks
Adv. Detroit
My Prediction: Pistons in 5
Friday, April 4, 2008
Game Predictions
Stats within last 3 games
Charlotte at Toronto
These two teams had a recent matchup against each other on Mar. 31, which had the Raptors defeating the Bobcats 104-100. The Bobcats played wonderful, but Chris Bosh playing like his usual superstar self was too much for Charlotte. But the X-factor for this game will be Jamario Moon. Moonshine has been playing well(12p, 6r, .78% fg) and should have another big game.
Winner:Toronto
Philadelphia at Atlanta
The Hawks have been the hottest team in the East and could be looking at their first postseason berth in 8 years. Their opponents, the 76ers, have been the surprise of the East this season. With Mo Cheeks getting the young players under control and Andre Miller has been one of the best point guards in the East (18.7p, 10a, 2s). I see Iguodala shutting JJ and leading his team to victory.
Winner:Philadelphia
San Antonio at Utah
This is going to be the game of the day. You have to marquee 20-10 power forwards in Carlos Boozer and Tim Duncan. Then you have two premier point guards in Tony Parker and Deron Williams. Then you have Manu coming off the bench for the Spurs and Memo playing as a great third option for the Jazz, this is going to be one hell of a game.
Winner: San Antonio
Golden State at Memphis
Baron Davis and the Warriors could have a problem playing against the fast-offense Grizzlies. Davis has been playing more like a 2-guard (20p, 5r, 2s), while Gay has elevated him offense (24.3p, 5.3r, .60% fg). Add the emergence of their 3-headed point guard monster (Lowry, Crittenton, and Conley) and I see an upset coming.
Winner:Memphis
New York at New Orleans
Chris Paul has just been phenomenal for the Hornets. He is a legitmate top-3 MVP candidate, could become the first player ever to average 20+, 10+, and 3+, and he's only 22. He's has helped David West and Tyson Chandler play at all-star levels. He's shooting at a near .50% fg clip and looks to set New Orleans back on the map. O, and New York sucks monkey titties.
Winner:New Orleans
New Jersey at Detroit
With Rip looking to sit out this game, Detroit might take a light-hearted approach to this game. Nevertheless, look for Tayshaun Prince (11.7p, 6.7r, 4a) to have an important role in playing New Jersey. Vince Carter has stepped up his game since the Jason Kidd trade (31.3p, 7.3r, 5a, .52% 3pt), and Devin Harris (20.7p, 7a, .91% ft) has provided a bright spot towards the future with his increased play. I see New Jersey taking advantage of this situation.
Winner:New Jersey
Miami at Washington
Chris Quinn has been playing out of his mind (15.7p, 5r, 7.7a, .43% 3pt), but it doesn't change the fact that this Miami Heat is better than any D-League team. I except Gilbert to have his "breakout" game against these scrubs.
Winner:Washington
Indiana at Milwaukee
Indiana has the potential to better themselves, whether they make the playoffs or not. Jermaine O'Neal is back and he's crucial to this team being a playoff team down the road. With Danny Granger (21p, 7r, 1b) and Mike Dunleavy (16.3p, 2.3a, .41% 3pt) having breakout seasons, it should help them in the future. Andrew Bogut and Charlie Villanueva have formed up to be a formidable duo in the paint. Look for Milwaukee to sneak out with a win.
Winner:Milwaukee
Minnesota at Phoenix
Not even worth comments. Amare and Shaq will overpower Big Al to an easy win.
Winner:Phoenix
Houston at Seattle
Another one that will be easy to predict. Kevin Durant has improved on a monthly basis (24.3p, 1b, .50 fg) but his team should be gearing up for this year's draft. I see Carl Landry having a big game against this soft team and leading Houston to victory.
Winner:Houston
Dallas at LA Lakers
Kobe vs Dirk. J-Ho vs Odom. Gasol vs Kidd. With these three marquee matchups, who will be the role player to step up. Look no further than Ronny Turiaf (5.3p, 4.3r, 2.3b) He should be able to get some playing time thanks to Dallas's lack of a post defensive presence. Look for Kobe and the Lakers to beat the Mavs in what should be the second-best game of the day.
Winner: LA Lakers
Thursday, April 3, 2008
Miami's Nightmare Season
(o7-08 averages)
Ricky Davis
6'7 195
29 yrs old
9th Season
$6,819,000
(13.5PPG, 4.2RPG, 3.2APG)
Mark Blount
7'0 230
32 yrs old
7thSeason
$7,901,040
(8.4RPG, 3.8RPG, .47 FG%)
The Heat gave away the following:
Antoine Walker
6'9 245
31 yrs old
11th Season
$8,329,640
(8PPG, 3.7RPG, .32 3PT%)
Michael Doleac
6'11 262
30 yrs old
9th Season
$3,120,000
(2.4PPG, 2.1RPG, .47 FG%)
Wayne Simien
6'9 250
25 yrs old
3rd Season
$997,800
(N/A)
Also throw in a future first-round draft pick (top 14 protected in 2008) and a second round pick from Miami. Now if you're just looking at it by stats, you can easily say that Miami won this trade. But they gave up three expiring contracts for one and they took in Blount's terrible contract. Not only that but this was supposed to cover up the weakness at SF and bring more firepower off the bench. Well, its safe to say that it didn't happen. And I won't even mention the Shaq-Marion that dealt the final blow to this terrible team. Let's just look at the current rotation now.
(stats over the last five games)
PG Chris Quinn (13.4PPG, 5RPG, 7.2APG, 2.6SPG)
SG Daequean Cook (13.6PPG, 4.2RPG, .400 3PT%)
SF Ricky Davis (12.6PPG, 5.8RPG, 4.6APG, .440 3PT%)
PF Earl Barron (4.8PPG, 3.4RPG, .275 FG%)
C Mark Blount (5.6PPG, .8BPG, .424FG%)
--------------------
PF Joel Anthony (7.0RPG, 2.8BPG, .500 FG%)
PF Stephen Lasme (5.6PPG, 4.4RPG, 1.0BPG)
PG Blake Ahearn (1o.1PPG, .318 3PT%, .918 FT%)
C Alexander Johnson (4.4PPG, .412 FG%)
What you see is not their practice squad, but their actually team. Quinn has been the lone bright spot for this team as he has been easily the best player on the team but is more of a 3rd string point guard on a good team. Cook has not live up to his expectations being a starter because coach Pat Riley wants to see more all-around game from him. Davis hasn't done anything to prove that he can win being a starter and is more than likely not going to be on this team next season. Blount and Barron have been rebounding enigmas and combine for a whopping 6 rebounds over the last 5 games. I don't see Barron back and this team is stuck with "I'm a terrible shooting guard in a frail center's body" Blount. With this team, the best rebounder is the 6-9 undrafted rookie Anthony. The team needs to work on his offensive game but he has a great defensive ability to block shots. The same goes for Lasme, who plays out-of-position as a PF. Lasme needs to work on his perimeter game and offensive awareness. (Bonus that he's from UMass, because any player from Massachusetts is alright with me). Ahearn and Johnson are probably heading to the D-League. Ahearn hasn't shown his shooting touch that made him torch the D-League for 45 points in a game. Johnson, who played last year for the Memphis Grizzlies, hasn't really been at full strength but he has some upside. But when your 3rd string players are your best players, that's how you know you're a bad team. They have had 12 consecutive games where they have had less rebounds. And the only times where they have won was against Milwaukee twice. They need to address this issue with importance because Marion could opt out, Udonis had knee surgery, and Zo could retire leaving them a mess at the big men position. I would use the open 15th spot (Kasib Powell was waived) to look at a big man from the D-League. I am in love with Rod Benson, (13.4PPG, 12.1RPG, .523 FG%) but other options include Chris Alexander (11.3PPG, 11.2RPG, 2.0BPG), Marcus Campbell (12.4PPG, 8.2RPG, .533 FG%), and Jelani McCoy (10.8PPG, 7.7RPG, 3.2APG, 2.1BPG, .706 FG%). Don't let McCoy's number sway too much because he was called up from the Nuggets earlier this season and couldn't play at an uptempo pace. The Heat have a lot of work to do, but with a healthy D-Wade, Udonis, Dorrell Wright, and a top pick in this year's deep draft, the future could be heating up.
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Eastern Top 8
NBA Eastern Playoff Race
1. Boston Celtics (60-15), 1st Atlantic
The way that Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen have turned this franchise around is truly remarkable. Not to disregard Paul Pierce, who I personally think is a HOF-player, KG and Ray-Ray have brought back recognition into this once-tainted franchise.
2. Detroit Pistons (53-21), 1st Central
The Pistons got possibly their biggest win of the season on Sunday afternoon, but with a bit of a catch. SG Richard Hamilton went down in the third quarter of Detroit’s 110-101 victory over the Spurs with a left ankle injury. X-rays were taken and more information should be made public later on Monday. Aside from this bad news, the Pistons seem to be getting their act together at the right time. After dropping four of five earlier in the month, Detroit is currently on a four game high and have increased their lead in the Central to 7.5 games. PG Chauncey Billups has been a beast of late, averaging 25.5 PPG, 6.3 APG and 4.3 RPG over his last four. Also, SF Tayshaun Prince is quietly emerging as a top candidate for the Most Improved Player award. Not only did Prince drop a career-high 31 against the Hawks this week, but he’s also averaging 23.0 PPG and 6.5 RPG over his last four. Barring any disasters, the Pistons should have no problems holding off the Celtics for the two seed.
3. Orlando Magic (47-28), 1st Southeast
The most under-appreciated team in the Eastern Conference have a chance to advance past the first round. With a MVP candidate in Dwight Howard (Past 10 games: 19.6 PPG, 14.5 RPG, 1.8 BPG, 57 FG%) and two others playing at an all-star level (Hedo Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis), this team could be a serious threat in the playoffs. Orlando just won a club-record 24 road wins and have will have message to all the nay-sayers come playoff time.
4. Cleveland Cavaliers (42-33), 2nd CE
Despite playing with arguably the best player in the game, LeBron James, the Cavs are having a bad year compared to last season. Zydrunas Ilgauskas is back from injury and is playing like a borderline all-star for the majority of March and Devin Brown has given them some quality games.
I really don't have a clear reading on this team. With a great player like Chris Bosh, you would think that this team shouldn't be bordering over .500 but they are. They have been inconsistent in the center position, Jose Calderon was recently benched for T.J. Ford, Jamario Moon has been everywhere offensively and what the hell is Andrea Bargnani doing? One night he has 16, the next night its 5, then 12, then 2 and so on. They need to establish the bench going towards the playoffs.
6. Washington Wizards (38-37), 2nd SE
Agent Zero has returned!!! Even though the Wizards have managed to sustain a positive team record thanks to Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler playing at great levels, any team with Gilbert Arenas is going to be a good team. Add the emerging rookie (Nick Young) and a deadly shooter (Roger Mason), they should only get better.
7. Philadelphia 76ers (38-37), 3rd AT
The team that nobody believed could relive the 2006-07 season-ending run of getting a playoff spot. No Allen Iverson means lottery-bound, right? Well this team has found a new identity has a fast-tempo team with a great point guard in Andre Miller leading the way. Andre Iguodala has also proving that he can be a go-to guy and his team will be able to win. With Samuel Dalembert and Louis Williams having breakout seasons and two solid backup swingmen in Thaddeus Young and Rodney Carney, this team will pose problems.
8. Atlanta Hawks (35-40), SE
The Atlanta Hawks have really come a long way up to this season. With the firing of G.M. Billy King and Mike Woodson being in the doghouse for not being productive, this team could be finally headed to the postseason for what seems like a long time. The trade for Mike Bibby really improved this team has his 3-point shooting and leadership was really needed for this Hawks team. With an all-star player in Joe Johnson, an up-and-coming defensive force in Josh Smith, and a nice supporting cast with Marvin Williams, Al Horford, and Josh Childress, this team should be a force for a number of seasons.